Paraguay. Premier League
Club Guarani face Libertad Asuncion on August 2, 2026 in the Paraguay. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Club Guarani 0-0-2, Libertad Asuncion 2-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 30% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Libertad Asuncion — 40%
Pure model vs market (2 · Libertad Asuncion): model 42% · market 40% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Club Guarani 30.5%, draw 29.6%, win Libertad Asuncion 39.9%. Model favourite — Libertad Asuncion.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Libertad Asuncion.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 1.88 53.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.54 64.9% | 1.55 64.5% |
| x2 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.34 74.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.80 26.3% | |
| X | 1.94 51.6% |
| 3.01 33.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.12 47.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.65 60.6% |
Club Guarani
San-Lorenso
Sportivo Lukeno
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpiya Asunson
Full head-to-head historyClub Guarani - Libertad Asuncion
The Club Guarani - Libertad Asuncion breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
