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Paraguay. Premier League
Paraguay. Premier League
29.07.2026 19:30 UTC
29.07.2026 19:30 UTC
Not started

Paraguay. Premier League

Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion (r)

Football
N
Nacional Asuncion
- : -
Not started
Olimpia Asuncion (r)
Olimpia Asuncion (r)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Olimpia Asuncion (r) — 38%

Pure model vs market (2 · Olimpia Asuncion (r)): model 26% · market 17% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Nacional Asuncion30.5%
X · draw31.1%
2 · Olimpia Asuncion (r)38.4%

Model estimate: win Nacional Asuncion 30.5%, draw 31.1%, win Olimpia Asuncion (r) 38.4%. Model favourite — Olimpia Asuncion (r).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Olimpia Asuncion (r) (odds1.92) Score 1:2 confidence 52%
  • • Model backs Olimpiya Asunson: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion (r) July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nacional Asuncion. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.68 / X 3.45 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 55.8%
X 27.2%
2 17.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 12.50 ↓ 3.25
1X2 X 4.80 ↓ 3.25
1X2 P2 1.25 ↑ 2.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Nacional Asuncion 1 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion (r)
13.22
X2.85
22.45

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 1:0 · 35'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

35'
56% 27% 17%
Nacional Asuncion (1) Draw (X) Olimpia Asuncion (r) (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

LIVE

Match momentum (live)

1:0 33'
Nacional Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion (r)
29Attacks39
16Dangerous attacks18
1Shots on target1
53%Control (ball-safe)56%
1Corners1
1Fouls3

Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated28.07.2026 20:21 UTC
1 28%
X 38% ✓ favourite
2 34%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:X2
Per AI data H2H: 0-2
Claude updated28.07.2026 20:34 UTC
1 33%
X 31%
2 36% ✓ favourite
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X
Qwen updated28.07.2026 20:30 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 20:49 UTC
1 30%
X 35% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:X2
Per AI data H2H: 0-4

AI consensus:X

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 28% 38% 34% 1:1 Under 2.5 No X2
Claude 33% 31% 36% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 30% 35% 35% 1:1 Under 2.5 Yes X2

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 19:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Nacional Asuncion 42%
📐 Math model Olimpia Asuncion (r) 38%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion (r)

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nacional Asuncion 29.2% 30.5%
Draw 31.7% 31.1% draw risk
Olimpia Asuncion (r) 39.1% 38.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 30.5% / 31.1% / 38.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,353 Nacional Asuncion / Olimpia Asuncion (r)
RD 350 / 265 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 823-1,884 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 Fonbet · no value · model 38.4%
X 3.45 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.68 Fonbet · no value · model 30.5%
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 68.9%
1X 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 61.6%
X2 2.12 Fonbet · value +47.2% · model 69.5%
Handicap
2 -1 1.42 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.95 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.50 40.0% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.35 74.1% 1.42 70.4% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.51 66.2% 1.51 66.2% 1.16 86.2%
x2 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 2.12 47.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.12 24.3%
X 1.84 54.4%
3.09 32.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.14 46.7%
Under 1 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Nacional Asuncion
L
25.07 19:30 UTC Paraguay: Copa de Primera - Clausura Standings
Nacional Asuncion 1:4 Ameliano
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Olimpia Asuncion (r)
L
26.07 17:00 UTC Paraguay: Copa de Primera - Clausura Standings
Olimpia Asuncion (r) 0:1 LibertadLibertad
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points