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Paraguay. Premier League
Paraguay. Premier League
03.08.2026 19:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

Paraguay. Premier League

Sportivo Trinidense - Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Football
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Trinidense
- : -
Not started
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Sportivo Trinidense take on Club Sp. San Lorenzo on August 3, 2026 in the Paraguay. Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sportivo Trinidense 1-0-1, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 2-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sportivo Trinidense — 60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sportivo Trinidense): model 52% · market 61% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sportivo Trinidense ✓ Pick60.3%
market61%
X · draw24.2%
market24%
2 · Club Sp. San Lorenzo15.4%
market15%

Model estimate: win Sportivo Trinidense 60.3%, draw 24.2%, win Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15.4%. Model favourite — Sportivo Trinidense.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sportivo Trinidense (odds1.52) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Sportivo Trinidens: probability 50% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
  • • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sportivo Trinidense - Club Sp. San Lorenzo August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sportivo Trinidense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 3.80 / 2 6.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 ✓ Pick 60.8%
X 24.5%
2 14.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Division Profesional - Clausura
League table
Sportivo Trinidense
#26 ptsGP 22-0-06:2
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
#101 ptsGP 20-1-11:2
Best price across 14 books
1 1.57 William Hill
X 3.90 Betfair
2 6.40 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sportivo Trinidense
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.26 Conceded 0.54 xG 1.17 xGA 1.20 Corners 4.4
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
W-D-L 1-6-3 Scored 0.71 Conceded 1.11 xG 0.97 xGA 1.31

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sportivo Trinidense 2 : 1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
11.56
X3.86
25.92

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 60.8% @ 1.53 / X 24.5% @ 3.80 / 2 14.8% @ 6.30
Match center

Sportivo Trinidense - Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sportivo Trinidense 60.9% 60.3% market and model agree
Draw 24.4% 24.2% draw risk
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 14.7% 15.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 60.3% / 24.2% / 15.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,626 / 1,481 Puerto Nuevo U20 / Sportivo San Lorenzo
RD 291 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,044-2,209 / 897-2,064 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.00 market consensus · no value · model 15.4%
X 3.76 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 60.3%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 75.8%
1X 1.10 market consensus · no value · model 84.6%
X2 2.36 market consensus · no value · model 39.7%
Handicap
2 +1 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.66 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.09 47.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1%
x2 2.37 42.2% 2.34 42.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.11 47.4%
X 2.14 46.7%
6.00 16.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.96 51.0%
Under 1 1.76 56.8%
Match center
Sportivo Trinidense
L W
29.07 17:00 UTC Paraguay: Copa de Primera - Clausura Standings
Sportivo Trinidense 2:5 Sportivo LukenoSportivo Lukeno
24.07 19:30 UTC Paraguay: Copa de Primera - Clausura Standings
Sportivo Trinidense 2:1 Serro Porteno
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
3 Points
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
W W
30.07 17:00 UTC Paraguay: Copa de Primera - Clausura Standings
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 2:1 GuaraniGuarani
25.07 17:00 UTC Paraguay: Copa de Primera - Clausura Standings
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1:0 Rekoleta
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points