Peru. Premier League
Peru. Premier League
12.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Finished

Peru. Premier League

UTC Cajamarca - ADA Jaen

Futbol
UTC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
4 : 1
Finished
ADA Jaen
ADA Jaen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction UTC Cajamarca - ADA Jaen July 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: UTC Cajamarca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 5.50 / 2 5.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 35.0%
1 73.3%
X 13.5%
2 13.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Match center

UTC Cajamarca - ADA Jaen

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.55 market consensus · line only
X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.17 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 4.20 23.8%
yes 1.17 85.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.03 97.1%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 9.50 10.5%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.40 71.4%
1.14 87.7%
1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5% 5.00 20.0%
12.00 8.3%
11.00 9.1%
2.75 36.4%
4.60 21.7%
2.40 41.7%
7.50 13.3%
2.10 47.6%
1.06 94.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.06 94.3%
Over 2.5 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.14 87.7%
Over 3 1.23 81.3%
Over 3.5 1.17 85.5%
Over 4 1.30 76.9%
Over 4.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 5 3.05 32.8%
Over 5.5 7.30 13.7%
Over 6 7.60 13.2%
Over 6.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 7.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 6.80 14.7%
Under 2.5 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 4.70 21.3%
Under 3 3.60 27.8%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUTC Cajamarca - ADA Jaen

UTC Cajamarca
0 matches total
ADA Jaen
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history