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Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings

31.07.2026 23:30 UTC

Not started

Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings

Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico

Football

Alianza Lima

- : -

Not started

Alianza Atletico

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Alianza Lima — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Alianza Lima): model 52% · market 68% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Alianza Lima ✓ Pick61.3%

market68%

X · draw19.3%

market20%

2 · Alianza Atletico19.4%

market11%

Model estimate: win Alianza Lima 61.3%, draw 19.3%, win Alianza Atletico 19.4%. Model favourite — Alianza Lima.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Alianza Lima (odds2.00) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Alyansa Lima: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.00)
• no edge over the line (+0 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Alianza Lima. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 4.60 / 2 8.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 ✓ Pick 68.5%

X 20.1%

2 11.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División

League table

Alianza Lima

#144 ptsGP 1913-5-134:11

ARRAY

Alianza Atletico

#824 ptsGP 196-6-724:23

ARRAY

Best price across 13 books

1 1.44 Bet365

X 4.60 Dafabet

2 8.90 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Alianza Lima

W-D-L 7-3-0 Scored 2.20 Conceded 0.61 xG 1.74 xGA 0.84 Corners 3.1

Alianza Atletico

W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.51 xG 1.24 xGA 1.22 Corners 3.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Alianza Lima

Rating 1729 xG 1.70 Win 59%

Alianza Atletico

Rating 1556 xG 0.81 Win 18%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 23:30 UTC

Match center

Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Form Match Participants

More needed

Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Alianza Lima - 61.3% model pick

Draw - 19.3% draw risk

Alianza Atletico - 19.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 61.3% / 19.3% / 19.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,618 / 1,470 Alianza Lima / Alianza Atletico

RD 197 / 168 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,223-2,013 / 1,134-1,806 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.10 market consensus · no value · model 19.4%

X 4.60 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 61.3%

Double chance

12 1.16 market consensus · no value · model 80.7%

1X 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 80.6%

X2 2.90 market consensus · no value · model 38.7%

Total

Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.16 86.2%
1x	1.04 96.2%
x2	2.90 34.5%

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity
	2.05 48.8%
	1.69 59.2%

Total

Outcome	Betcity
Over 2.5	1.82 55.0%
Under 2.5	1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Betcity
	1.35 74.1%
X	4.60 21.7%
	8.10 12.4%

Match center

Alianza Lima

D W

26.07 18:30 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings

Alianza Lima 2:2 Komersiantes Unidos

19.07 22:00 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings

Alianza Lima 2:1 Sport Uankayo

1 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

4 Points

Alianza Atletico

W L

24.07 18:00 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings

Alianza Atletico 3:1 Los-Chankas

18.07 21:30 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings

Alianza Atletico 1:4 Kusko

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

2.5 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlianza Lima - Alianza Atletico

Alianza Lima

0 matches total

Alianza Atletico

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico

AI match prediction Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico July 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Double chance

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history