Peru. Premier League
Alianza Lima face Alianza Atletico on August 2, 2026 in the Peru. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Alianza Lima 1-1-3, Alianza Atletico 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Alianza Lima at roughly 68%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 68% to win — broadly in line with the market. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Alianza Lima — 68%
Pure model vs market (1 · Alianza Lima): model 52% · market 69% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Alianza Lima 67.7%, draw 20.9%, win Alianza Atletico 11.4%. Model favourite — Alianza Lima.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alianza Lima.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 74.1% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | |
| X | 4.35 23.0% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.85 20.6% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.50 22.2% |
| 10.00 10.0% | 9.50 10.5% | 8.50 11.8% | 9.50 10.5% | 8.00 12.5% | 9.00 11.1% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.53 65.4% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 2.40 41.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | 1.01 99.0% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.07 93.5% |
| x2 | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 10.00 10.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_2 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_3 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 4.75 21.1% |
| 1_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_3 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 2_0 | 4.75 21.1% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 2_3 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 3_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 3_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 3_2 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 3_3 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 4_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 4_1 | 17.00 5.9% |
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Full head-to-head historyAlianza Lima - Alianza Atletico
The Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
