PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Peru. Premier League
Peru. Premier League
06.08.2026 20:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Not started

Peru. Premier League

Alianza Atletico - Cienciano

Football
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico
- : -
Not started
Cienciano
Cienciano

Alianza Atletico face Cienciano on August 6, 2026 in the Peru. Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Alianza Atletico 1-0-2, Cienciano 1-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Alianza Atletico — 40%

Pure model vs market (1 · Alianza Atletico): model 41% · market 40% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Alianza Atletico40.2%
X · draw32.7%
2 · Cienciano27.1%

Model estimate: win Alianza Atletico 40.2%, draw 32.7%, win Cienciano 27.1%. Model favourite — Alianza Atletico.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Cienciano (odds2.32) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Sensiano: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.32)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alianza Atletico - Cienciano August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Alianza Atletico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.12 / 2 3.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4% 3 books · best price +2.2%
1 40.1%
X 33.4%
2 26.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Alianza Atletico
#1024 ptsGP 206-6-825:26
Cienciano
#336 ptsGP 2011-3-637:27
Best price across 13 books
1 2.26 10Bet
X 3.25 William Hill
2 3.70 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Alianza Atletico
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.71 xG 1.14 xGA 1.35 Corners 2.8
Cienciano
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.48 xGA 1.29 Corners 5.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Alianza Atletico
Rating 1549 xG 1.33 Win 42%
Cienciano
Rating 1617 xG 1.10 Win 31%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 20:38 UTC
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 34%
2 28%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 1-1
Claude updated03.08.2026 20:41 UTC
1 33%
X 27%
2 40% ✓ favourite
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X (Alyansa Atletiko ne proigraet) — 60%
Per AI data H2H: 1-1

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 38% 34% 28% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X
Claude 33% 27% 40% 1:1 Under 2.5 No 1X (Alyansa Atletiko ne proigraet) — 60%

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 41.8% @ 2.30 / X 30.8% @ 3.12 / 2 27.4% @ 3.50
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Alianza Atletico 36%
📐 Math model Alianza Atletico 40%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Alianza Atletico - Cienciano

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Alianza Atletico 40.1% 40.2% market and model agree
Draw 33.4% 32.7% draw risk
Cienciano 26.5% 27.1%
xG - 1.33 : 1.10

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 40.2% / 32.7% / 27.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,454 / 1,510 Alianza Atletico / Sensiano
RD 159 / 177 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,137-1,772 / 1,157-1,863 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.43 market consensus · no value · model 27.1%
X 2.86 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.27 market consensus · no value · model 40.2%
Double chance
12 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 67.3%
1X 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 72.9%
X2 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 59.8%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.32 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.14 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.33 75.2% 1.39 71.9%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4%
x2 1.47 68.0% 1.55 64.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.80 35.7%
X 2.20 45.5%
3.72 26.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.70 58.8%
Under 1 2.04 49.0%
Match center
Alianza Atletico
L W L
02.08 01:30 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Alianza Atletico 1:2 Alyansa LimaAlyansa Lima
24.07 18:00 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Alianza Atletico 3:1 Los-ChankasLos-Chankas
18.07 21:30 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Alianza Atletico 1:4 KuskoKusko
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.3 Conceded
3 Points
Cienciano
W L L
02.08 23:30 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Cienciano 2:0 UniversitarioUniversitario
25.07 18:15 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Cienciano 0:2 Juan Pablo II
17.07 23:00 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Cienciano 1:3 MelgarMelgar
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
3 Points