Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
FC Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 FC Cajamarca — 48%
Pure model vs market (1 · FC Cajamarca): model 29% · market 28% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win FC Cajamarca 47.8%, draw 20.3%, win Sport Huancayo 31.9%. Model favourite — FC Cajamarca.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs FC Cajamarca: probability 50% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.39)
- • edge over the line +21 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.39 / X 3.37 / 2 2.14
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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FC Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.02 49.5% |
| yes | 1.74 57.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.88 25.8% | |
| X | 2.21 45.3% |
| 2.70 37.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.76 56.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.96 51.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 2.04 49.0% |
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alyansa Lima
Full head-to-head historyFC Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo
Match history
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The FC Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form