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Peru. Premier League
Peru. Premier League
31.07.2026 18:30 UTC
31.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Not started

Peru. Premier League

Moquegua - Cajamarca

Football
Moquegua
Moquegua
- : -
Not started
Cajamarca
Cajamarca
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Cajamarca — 51%

1 · Moquegua28.9%
X · draw19.7%
2 · Cajamarca51.4%

Model estimate: win Moquegua 28.9%, draw 19.7%, win Cajamarca 51.4%. Model favourite — Cajamarca.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Cajamarca (odds2.39) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Melgar: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.39)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Moquegua - Cajamarca July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Match center

Moquegua - Cajamarca

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Moquegua - 28.9%
Draw - 19.7% draw risk
Cajamarca - 51.4% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.9% / 19.7% / 51.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,544 / 1,757 Moquegua / Cajamarca
RD 196 / 207 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,152-1,937 / 1,343-2,171 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Moquegua
D D
26.07 16:00 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Moquegua 0:0 UTKUTK
18.07 14:00 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Moquegua 2:2 Komersiantes UnidosKomersiantes Unidos
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Cajamarca
W W
25.07 23:00 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Cajamarca 2:1 Sporting Kristall
17.07 23:00 UTC Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Cajamarca 3:1 SensianoSensiano
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMoquegua - Cajamarca

Moquegua
0 matches total
Cajamarca
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history