Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Cusco - UTC Cajamarca
Cusco meet UTC Cajamarca on August 1, 2026 in the Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Cusco 2-0-0, UTC Cajamarca 0-1-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Cusco — 59%
Pure model vs market (1 · Cusco): model 51% · market 60% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Cusco 59.3%, draw 23.6%, win UTC Cajamarca 17.1%. Model favourite — Cusco.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Kusko: probability 58% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.71)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cusco - UTC Cajamarca August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.10 / 2 5.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera DivisiónHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Cusco - UTC Cajamarca
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% |
| x2 | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.94 51.6% | 1.92 52.1% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.69 59.2% | 1.68 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.06 48.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.10 24.4% |
| 5.20 19.2% | 5.20 19.2% |
Cusco
Alyansa Atletiko
UTC Cajamarca
Moquegua
Full head-to-head historyCusco - UTC Cajamarca
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Cusco - UTC Cajamarca breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form