Peru. Division 2
Santos - Comerciantes
Santos go head-to-head with Comerciantes on August 1, 2026 in the Peru. Division 2.
Recent form (W-D-L): Santos 1-0-1, Comerciantes 1-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Comerciantes — 50%
Model estimate: win Santos 30.2%, draw 19.6%, win Comerciantes 50.3%. Model favourite — Comerciantes.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Comerciantes: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Santos - Comerciantes August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.04 / 2 3.06
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Segunda DivisiónHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Santos - Comerciantes
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.98 33.6% | |
| X | 1.91 52.4% |
| 3.99 25.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.61 62.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.60 62.5% | |
| 2.15 46.5% |
Santos
Ayakucho
Full head-to-head historySantos - Comerciantes
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Santos - Comerciantes breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form