Lechia Zielona Gora go head-to-head with Olimpia Grudziadz on August 1, 2026 in the Poland. League 2.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lechia Zielona Gora 2-1-2, Olimpia Grudziadz 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 57% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Lechia Zielona Gora — 57%
57%1
1 · Lechia Zielona Gora ✓ Pick57.2%
X · draw18.9%
2 · Olimpia Grudziadz23.8%
Model estimate: win Lechia Zielona Gora 57.2%, draw 18.9%, win Olimpia Grudziadz 23.8%. Model favourite — Lechia Zielona Gora.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Lechia Zielona Gora (odds3.02)Score 1:0confidence 50%✓ outcome correct
•Model backs Zelena Gora: probability 50% vs 33% on the line (odds 3.02)
•edge over the line +17 pp — value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lechia Zielona Gora - Olimpia Grudziadz August 1, 2026
Football math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lechia Zielona Gora.
Line favourite Fonbet: Lechia Zielona Gora. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 5.90 / 2 2.12
Glicko: Lechia Zielona Gora 57.2% / X 18.9% / Olimpia Grudziadz 23.8%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 60.3%
1 ✓ Pick60.0%
X10.6%
229.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
II Liga - East
League table
Lechia Zielona Gora
#71 ptsGP 10-1-01:1
Olimpia Grudziadz
#180 ptsGP 10-0-11:4
Best price
across 11 books
13.261xBet
X3.48Pinnacle
22.25Bet365
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Lechia Zielona Gora2:2Olimpia Grudziadz
13.29
X3.34
22.01
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Lechia Zielona Gora30.0%57.2%Glicko contrarian
Draw27.1%18.9%draw risk
Olimpia Grudziadz42.9%23.8%market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P257.2% / 18.9% / 23.8%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,481 / 1,367
Lechia Zielona Gora / Olimpia Grudziadz
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.12
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 23.8%
X5.90
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.04
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 57.2%
Double chance
121.09
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 81.1%
1X1.02
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 76.2%
X28.00
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 42.8%
Handicap
2 09.50
Fonbet · line only
1 01.02
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.27
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.53.30
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No2.10
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.65
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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