Poland: Division 2 Standings
Stal Stalova - Tykhy 71
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Stal Stalova — 40%
Pure model vs market (1 · Stal Stalova): model 48% · market 40% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Stal Stalova 40.1%, draw 27.2%, win Tykhy 71 32.8%. Model favourite — Stal Stalova.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Stal Stalova: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Stal Stalova - Tykhy 71 July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.33 / 2 2.77
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Stal Stalova - Tykhy 71
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.35 74.1% | 1.39 71.9% |
| x2 | 1.49 67.1% | 1.55 64.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | 1.70 58.8% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.79 55.9% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | |
| X | 3.33 30.0% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 2.77 36.1% | 2.75 36.4% |
Full head-to-head historyStal Stalova - Tykhy 71
Match history
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The Stal Stalova - Tykhy 71 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form