Poland: Division 2 Standings
Stal Stalova - Tykhy 71
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Stal Stalova — 39%
Pure model vs market (1 · Stal Stalova): model 48% · market 38% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Stal Stalova 39.4%, draw 25.9%, win Tykhy 71 34.7%. Model favourite — Stal Stalova.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Stal Stalova: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Stal Stalova - Tykhy 71 July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.45 / X 3.50 / 2 2.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Stal Stalova - Tykhy 71
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.16 46.3% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.39 71.9% | 1.44 69.4% |
| x2 | 1.48 67.6% | 1.53 65.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.05 32.8% | |
| X | 2.14 46.7% |
| 3.16 31.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.99 50.3% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.35 | 3.35 | 2.6 |
| Winline | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.28 |
| Fonbet | 2.35 | 3.35 | 2.6 |
| Betcity | 2.85 | 3.3 | 2.25 |
Full head-to-head historyStal Stalova - Tykhy 71
Match history
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The Stal Stalova - Tykhy 71 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form