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Poland: Division 3 - Group 1 Standings
Poland: Division 3 - Group 1 Standings
30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Not started

Poland: Division 3 - Group 1 Standings

Olimpia Elblag - Plotsk II

Football
O
Olimpia Elblag
- : -
Not started
P
Plotsk II
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Plotsk II — 40%

Pure model vs market (2 · Plotsk II): model 33% · market 41% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Olimpia Elblag34.1%
X · draw25.4%
2 · Plotsk II40.5%

Model estimate: win Olimpia Elblag 34.1%, draw 25.4%, win Plotsk II 40.5%. Model favourite — Plotsk II.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Olimpia Elblag (odds1.89) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • • Model backs Olimpiya Elblong: probability 52% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.89)
  • • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Olimpia Elblag - Plotsk II July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Plotsk II. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 3.61 / 2 2.38

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 32.3%
X 26.9%
2 40.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Olimpia Elblag - Plotsk II

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Olimpia Elblag 33.5% 34.1%
Draw 25.6% 25.4% draw risk
Plotsk II 41.0% 40.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.1% / 25.4% / 40.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Olimpia Elblag / Plotsk II
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.23 market consensus · no value · model 40.5%
X 3.56 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.74 market consensus · no value · model 34.1%
Double chance
12 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 74.6%
1X 1.67 market consensus · no value · model 59.5%
X2 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 65.9%
Handicap
2 0 1.59 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.52 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.38 42.0%
yes 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.67 59.9%
x2 1.34 74.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.42 29.2%
X 2.28 43.9%
2.64 37.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 1 1.57 63.7%
Over 1.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 0.5 3.59 27.9%
Under 1 2.26 44.3%
Under 1.5 1.85 54.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOlimpia Elblag - Plotsk II

Olimpia Elblag
0 matches total
Plotsk II
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history