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Poland: Cup Polshi
Poland: Cup Polshi
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Poland: Cup Polshi

Podbeskidzie - Hutnik Kraków

Football
P
Podbeskidzie
- : -
Not started
H
Hutnik Kraków

Podbeskidzie meet Hutnik Kraków on August 5, 2026 in the Poland: Cup Polshi.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Podbeskidzie59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Podbeskidzie): model 48% · market 59% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Podbeskidzie58.8%
market59%
X · draw23.1%
market23%
2 · Hutnik Kraków18.1%
market18%

Model estimate: win Podbeskidzie 58.8%, draw 23.1%, win Hutnik Kraków 18.1%. Model favourite — Podbeskidzie.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Podbeskidzie (odds1.98) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Podbeskidze: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.98)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Podbeskidzie - Hutnik Kraków August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Podbeskidzie. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.00 / 2 5.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9% 2 books · best price +1.3%
1 59.5%
X 23.0%
2 17.5%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Cup
Best price across 1 books
1 1.43 Superbet
X 4.55 Superbet
2 5.60 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Podbeskidzie
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.24 Conceded 0.89 xG 1.50 xGA 1.17 Corners 6.0
Hutnik Kraków
W-D-L 3-2-4 Scored 1.58 Conceded 0.94 xG 1.27 xGA 1.65

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Podbeskidzie 3 : 1 Hutnik Kraków

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 59.5% @ 1.55 / X 23.1% @ 4.00 / 2 17.4% @ 5.30
Match center

Podbeskidzie - Hutnik Kraków

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Podbeskidzie 59.5% 58.8% market and model agree
Draw 23.1% 23.1% draw risk
Hutnik Kraków 17.4% 18.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.8% / 23.1% / 18.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,711 / 1,627 Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala / Hutnik Krakow
RD 209 / 246 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,293-2,130 / 1,134-2,119 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.20 market consensus · no value · model 18.1%
X 3.95 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 58.8%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 76.9%
1X 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 81.9%
X2 2.30 market consensus · no value · model 41.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.78 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.93 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.21 82.6%
1x 1.13 88.5%
x2 2.30 43.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.06 48.5%
X 2.32 43.1%
5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.62 61.7%
Under 1 2.16 46.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-BialaDDWDWWWDWW
Hutnik KrakowWDLDWWLDWW
H2H 2-1-1, avg 2.75 gls
2026-03-14 · Podbeskidze 0:1 Khutnik
2025-08-30 · Podbeskidze 3:3 Khutnik
2025-06-07 · Podbeskidze 2:0 Khutnik
2024-11-09 · Podbeskidze 2:0 Khutnik
Source: ruscore
Podbeskidzie
D D W W
01.08 15:00 UTC+0 Poland: First Division Standings
Podbeskidzie 0:0 Stal Melets
27.07 15:00 UTC+0 Poland: First Division Standings
Podbeskidzie 1:1 Medz LegnitsaMedz Legnitsa
06.06 09:45 UTC+0 Poland: Division 2 - Povyshenie - Playoff
Podbeskidzie 3:1 Sandetsya
02.06 09:00 UTC+0 Poland: Division 2 - Povyshenie - Playoff
Podbeskidzie 2:1 Shlensk Vrotslav II
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Hutnik Kraków
W D
01.08 15:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Hutnik Kraków 3:0 Svit Skolvin
25.07 15:10 UTC+0 Poland: Division 2 Standings
Hutnik Kraków 0:0 Sandetsya
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points