Poland: Premier League Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Katovitse — 49%
Pure model vs market (1 · Katovitse): model 34% · market 50% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Katovitse 49.2%, draw 25.9%, win Radomiak Radom 24.9%. Model favourite — Katovitse.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.72 58.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| x2 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.49 40.2% | |
| X | 2.29 43.7% |
| 4.13 24.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 1 | 2.10 47.6% |
Katovitse
Visla Krakov
Full head-to-head historyKatovitse - Radomiak Radom
The Katovitse - Radomiak Radom breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
