Portugal: Championship Portugal Standings
Eshtoril - Famalicao
Eshtoril take on Famalicao on August 6, 2026 in the Portugal: Championship Portugal Standings.
Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Eshtoril — 47%
Model estimate: win Eshtoril 47.4%, draw 20.2%, win Famalicao 32.4%. Model favourite — Eshtoril.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Eshtoril: probability 50% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.56)
- • edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Eshtoril - Famalicao August 6, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.43 / X 3.47 / 2 2.30
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Eshtoril - Famalicao
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.38 72.5% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.60 62.5% | 1.58 63.3% |
| x2 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.29 77.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.93 25.5% | |
| X | 2.09 47.9% |
| 2.88 34.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.91 52.4% |
Komo
Kristal Pelas
Full head-to-head historyEshtoril - Famalicao
Match history
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The Eshtoril - Famalicao breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form