Portugal: Championship Portugal Standings
Estoril face Famalicao on August 7, 2026 in the Portugal: Championship Portugal Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Estoril 0-4-1, Famalicao 2-2-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Estoril — 47%
Model estimate: win Estoril 47.4%, draw 20.2%, win Famalicao 32.4%. Model favourite — Estoril.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.66 60.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.38 72.5% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.60 62.5% | 1.58 63.3% |
| x2 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.29 77.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.66 27.3% | |
| X | 2.11 47.4% |
| 3.01 33.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.91 52.4% |
Full head-to-head historyEstoril - Famalicao
The Estoril - Famalicao breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
