Portugal: Championship Portugal Standings
Gil Vicente - Rio Ave
Gil Vicente take on Rio Ave on August 9, 2026 in the Portugal: Championship Portugal Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Gil Vicente 2-1-2, Rio Ave 0-3-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Gil Vicente — 52%
Model estimate: win Gil Vicente 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Rio Ave 28.5%. Model favourite — Gil Vicente.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gil Vicente - Rio Ave August 9, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.90 / X 3.50 / 2 3.90
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Gil Vicente - Rio Ave
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.82 55.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% |
| 1x | 1.23 81.3% |
| x2 | 1.85 54.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| 3.30 30.3% | |
| 6.10 16.4% | |
| 6.90 14.5% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 6.60 15.2% | |
| 7.50 13.3% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | |
| 1.08 92.6% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 2.70 37.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1 | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 2 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 3 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 3.15 31.8% |
| Over 4 | 4.80 20.8% |
| Over 4.5 | 5.40 18.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 7.70 13.0% |
| Under 1 | 6.70 14.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.35 29.9% |
| Under 2 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| Under 3 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Under 4 | 1.13 88.5% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.10 90.9% |
Full head-to-head historyGil Vicente - Rio Ave
Overall statistics
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form