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Portugal: Championship Portugal Standings
Portugal: Championship Portugal Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
09.08.2026 19:30 UTC
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Portugal: Championship Portugal Standings

Gil Vicente - Rio Ave

Football
G
Gil Vicente
- : -
Not started
R
Rio Ave

Gil Vicente take on Rio Ave on August 9, 2026 in the Portugal: Championship Portugal Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Gil Vicente 2-1-2, Rio Ave 0-3-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Gil Vicente52%

1 · Gil Vicente52.1%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Rio Ave28.5%

Model estimate: win Gil Vicente 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Rio Ave 28.5%. Model favourite — Gil Vicente.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gil Vicente - Rio Ave August 9, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gil Vicente. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.90 / X 3.50 / 2 3.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 49.3%
X 26.7%
2 24.0%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.97 → 1.97
1X2 X 3.45 → 3.45
1X2 P2 3.70 → 3.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Market 1 49.3% @ 1.90 / X 26.7% @ 3.50 / 2 24.0% @ 3.90
Match center

Gil Vicente - Rio Ave

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gil Vicente 47.5% 52.1% market and model agree
Draw 27.2% 19.4% draw risk
Rio Ave 25.3% 28.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Gil Vicente / Rio Ave
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 Fonbet · no value · model 28.5%
X 3.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.90 Fonbet · no value · model 52.1%
Double chance
12 1.28 Fonbet · weak value +3.2% · model 80.6%
1X 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 71.5%
X2 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 47.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.28 78.1%
1x 1.23 81.3%
x2 1.85 54.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.06 94.3%
1.05 95.2%
2.70 37.0%
3.30 30.3%
6.10 16.4%
6.90 14.5%
1.40 71.4%
6.60 15.2%
7.50 13.3%
1.45 69.0%
1.27 78.7%
1.08 92.6%
1.06 94.3%
2.70 37.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2%
Over 1 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 2 1.45 69.0%
Over 2.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 3 2.55 39.2%
Over 3.5 3.15 31.8%
Over 4 4.80 20.8%
Over 4.5 5.40 18.5%
Under 0.5 7.70 13.0%
Under 1 6.70 14.9%
Under 1.5 3.35 29.9%
Under 2 2.55 39.2%
Under 2.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 3 1.45 69.0%
Under 3.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 4 1.13 88.5%
Under 4.5 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Gil Vicente
W L L D W
2026-07-22 Club Friendly Games 2026
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1:0 Porto
2026-05-16 Liga Portugal 25/26
Gil Vicente Sporting Lisbon 3:0 Gil Vicente
2026-05-11 Liga Portugal 25/26
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1:3 Arouca
2026-05-03 Liga Portugal 25/26
Gil Vicente Rio Ave 0:0 Gil Vicente
2026-04-27 Liga Portugal 25/26
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2:1 Casa Pia
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Rio Ave
D L D L D
2026-05-16 Liga Portugal 25/26
Casa Pia 1:1 Rio Ave Rio Ave
2026-05-11 Liga Portugal 25/26
Rio Ave 1:4 Sporting Lisbon Rio Ave
2026-05-03 Liga Portugal 25/26
Rio Ave 0:0 Gil Vicente Rio Ave
2026-04-25 Liga Portugal 25/26
Vitoria Guimaraes 2:0 Rio Ave Rio Ave
2026-04-17 Liga Portugal 25/26
Rio Ave 2:2 AVS Rio Ave
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGil Vicente - Rio Ave

Gil Vicente
1 matches total
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Rio Ave: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (2026-05-03) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

2026-05-03 Liga Portugal 25/26
Rio Ave 0:0 Gil Vicente