Premier League England

03.05.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

03.05.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Arsenal - Bournemouth

England Futbol

Arsenal

1 : 2

Finished

Bournemouth

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Bournemouth 3 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.86 / X 3.86 / 2 4.29
1X2 market: Arsenal 52.2% / X 25.2% / Bournemouth 22.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%

1 52.2%

X 25.2%

2 22.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%

Over 2.5 53.5%

Under 2.5 46.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 03.05.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Arsenal - Bournemouth

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.29 market consensus · line only

X 3.86 market consensus · line only

1 1.86 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.04 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.25 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.86 53.8%
Х	3.86 25.9%
П2	4.29 23.3%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	2.04 49.0%
home_away	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	1.81 55.3%
ТМ 2.5	2.08 48.1%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.38 72.5%
П2	3.21 31.2%

Match center

Arsenal

D W D D W

23.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:2 Kristal Pelas

20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 4:0 Ipswich

12.04 16:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:1 Brentford

05.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:1 Everton

01.04 18:45 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:1 Fulham

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Bournemouth

D D W D L

27.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 1:1 Manchester United

19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 0:0 Kristal Pelas

14.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 1:0 Fulham

05.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 2:2 West Ham

02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 1:2 Ipswich

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Bournemouth

Arsenal

1 matches total

Bournemouth

Arsenal: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Bournemouth: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Bournemouth 0:2 (19.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 19.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.10 16:30 UTC

Premier League

Arsenal

0:2

Bournemouth