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Premier League England

37 round 18.05.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

18.05.2026 19:00 UTC 37 round

Finished

Premier League

Arsenal - Burnley

England Football

Arsenal

1 : 0

Finished

Burnley

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Burnley May 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.10 / X 10.52 / 2 25.48
1X2 market: Arsenal 87.1% / X 9.1% / Burnley 3.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 67.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%

1 87.1%

X 9.1%

2 3.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%

Over 2.5 67.3%

Under 2.5 32.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Emireyts (London, England), 60 274 zritelya (100% pri vmestimosti 60 383)

Referee Pol Tirni (Lankashir)

Start 18.05.2026 19:00 UTC

Match center

Arsenal - Burnley

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Arsenal - Bernli, 18 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. APL 2025-2026 — Championship England po futbolu, 37 round. Arsenal - Bernli, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 9.50 Fonbet · line only

1 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.04 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 5.90 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 -0.5 6.63 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Yes 7.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.08 92.6%	1.09 91.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.10 90.9%
X	9.10 11.0%	12.30 8.1%	10.00 10.0%	10.00 10.0%	9.75 10.3%	11.00 9.1%
	21.00 4.8%	31.00 3.2%	26.00 3.9%	26.00 3.9%	27.00 3.7%	26.00 3.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.38 72.5%	1.45 69.0%	1.50 66.7%	1.40 71.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.46 68.5%	1.46 68.5%
yes	2.88 34.7%	2.58 38.8%	2.50 40.0%	2.75 36.4%	2.50 40.0%	2.63 38.0%	2.70 37.0%	2.52 39.7%	2.55 39.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	7.00 14.3%	8.00 12.5%	7.50 13.3%	8.00 12.5%	6.70 14.9%	7.50 13.3%
home_away	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.07 93.5%	1.04 96.2%
home_draw	1.01 99.0%	1.01 99.0%	1.01 99.0%	1.01 99.0%	1.02 98.0%	1.01 99.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5	1.12 89.3%	1.06 94.3%
Over 1.75	—	1.09 91.7%
Over 2.0	—	1.11 90.1%
Over 2.25	—	1.26 79.4%
Over 2.5	1.42 70.4%	1.37 73.0%
Over 2.75	—	1.47 68.0%
Over 3.5	2.10 47.6%	—
Over 4.5	3.50 28.6%	—
Over 5.5	6.25 16.0%	—
Under 1.5	5.75 17.4%	—
Under 2.5	2.80 35.7%	—
Under 3.5	1.70 58.8%	—
Under 4.5	1.28 78.1%	—
Under 5.5	1.11 90.1%	—

Match center

Arsenal

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Burnley

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Mikel Merino Ben Uayt Travmirovannye Dzhosh Kallen Dzhordan Bayer Konnor Roberts

Match center

Arsenal

W W W L L

10.05 15:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:0 West Ham

02.05 16:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 3:0 Fulham

25.04 16:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:0 Nyukasl

19.04 15:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:2 Manchester City

11.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:2 Bournemouth

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

9 Points

Burnley

D L L L L

10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 2:2 Aston Villa

01.05 19:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:3 Leeds

22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:1 Manchester City

19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:4 Nottingem Forest

11.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:2 Brighton

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

0.8 Scored

2.4 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Burnley

Arsenal

1 matches total

Burnley

Arsenal: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Burnley: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Arsenal 2:0 (01.11 15:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 01.11 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

01.11 15:00 UTC

Premier League

Arsenal

2:0

Burnley

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Arsenal

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Burnley

36 Games 36

24 Wins 4

7 Draws 9

5 Losses 23

68 Scored 37

26 Conceded 73

79 Points 21

100.85 Attacks 84.6

57.62 Dangerous attacks 37.91

0 Big chances 0

14.33 Shots on goal 9.22

4.83 Shots on target 3.11

64 0 Sendoffs 0.08 Goly Kay Khaverts Bukayo Saka 1:0 37' Nakazaniya Khannibal Mezhbri 28' Kay Khaverts 67' Zian Flemming 90+1' Lukas Pires 90+4'

Arsenal Bernli 36 Games 36 24 Wins 4 7 Draws 9 5 Losses 23 68 Scored 37 26 Conceded 73 79 Points 21 100.85 Attacks 84.6 57.62 Dangerous attacks 37.91 0 Big chances 0 14.33 Shots on goal 9.22 4.83 Udary v stvor 3.11 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.75 Uglovye 3.58 1.67 Offsaydy 1.56 10.28 Foly 10.17 56.19 % vladeniya myachom 41.58 1.36 Warnings 1.64 0 Sendoffs 0.08 Goly Kay Khaverts Bukayo Saka 1:0 37' Nakazaniya Khannibal Mezhbri 28' Kay Khaverts 67' Zian Flemming 90+1' Lukas Pires 90+4'