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Premier League England

14.03.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

14.03.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Arsenal - Everton

England Football

Arsenal

2 : 0

Finished

Everton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Everton March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 4.52 / 2 8.29
1X2 market: Arsenal 67.1% / X 21.3% / Everton 11.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%

1 67.2%

X 21.2%

2 11.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%

Over 2.5 47.6%

Under 2.5 52.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.03.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Arsenal - Everton

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.31 market consensus · line only

X 4.53 market consensus · line only

1 1.43 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.92 market consensus · line only

12 1.22 market consensus · line only

1X 1.09 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.88 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.15 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.60 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.28 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.44 69.4%
X	4.60 21.7%
	8.45 11.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.41 70.9%	1.46 68.5%	1.42 70.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%
X	4.70 21.3%	4.49 22.3%	4.50 22.2%	4.40 22.7%	4.60 21.7%	4.60 21.7%
	8.40 11.9%	8.95 11.2%	7.50 13.3%	8.80 11.4%	8.45 11.8%	8.45 11.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.58 63.3%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.58 63.3%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%
yes	2.40 41.7%	2.23 44.8%	2.25 44.4%	2.23 44.8%	2.39 41.8%	2.15 46.5%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	2.94 34.0%	2.75 36.4%	2.94 34.0%	3.03 33.0%	3.03 33.0%	2.80 35.7%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.24 80.7%	1.23 81.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.08 92.6%	1.08 92.6%	1.08 92.6%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.08 92.6%

Match center

Arsenal

W W W D D

04.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:0 Brighton

01.03 16:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:1 Chelsea

22.02 16:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 4:1 Tottenkhem

18.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:2 Wolves

12.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:1 Brentford

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

11 Points

Everton

W W L L W

03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Everton 2:0 Burnley

28.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 3:2 Nyukasl

23.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 0:1 Manchester United

10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Everton 1:2 Bournemouth

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 2:1 Fulham

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Everton

Arsenal

2 matches total

Everton

Arsenal: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Everton: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Arsenal 1:0 (20.12 20:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 05.04 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (05.04 11:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

20.12 20:00 UTC

Premier League

Arsenal

1:0

Everton

05.04 11:30 UTC

Premier League

Arsenal

1:1

Everton