Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Premier League England

35 round 02.05.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

02.05.2026 16:30 UTC 35 round

Finished

Premier League

Arsenal - Fulham

England Football

Stadium Emirates Stadium

Referee J. Gillett

Capacity 60 383

Arsenal

3 : 0

Finished

Fulham

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Arsenal — 64%

1 · Arsenal ✓ Pick64.1%

market65%

X · draw21.5%

market22%

2 · Fulham14.4%

market14%

Model estimate: win Arsenal 64.1%, draw 21.5%, win Fulham 14.4%. Model favourite — Arsenal.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Fulham May 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Strongest: Arsenal - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.38 / 2 7.04
1X2 market: Arsenal 64.8% / X 21.7% / Fulham 13.5%
Glicko: Arsenal 64.1% / X 21.5% / Fulham 14.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 39.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 ✓ Pick 64.7%

X 21.7%

2 13.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 50.5%

Under 2.5 49.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 64.9%

Total Under 2.5

Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Stadium Emireyts (London, England), 60 196 zriteley (100% pri vmestimosti 60 383)

Referee Dzharred Dzhillett (Australia)

Start 02.05.2026 16:30 UTC

Capacity 60,383

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Arsenal 64%

💹 Market Arsenal 6475%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Arsenal - Fulham

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Arsenal - Fulkhem, 2 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. APL 2025-2026 — Championship England po futbolu, 35 round. Arsenal - Fulkhem, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 3:0

Events 15

Statistics 24

Lineups 80

min Event Player Team

9' 9' Normal Goal | Viktor Gyökeres | assist/sub out: Bukayo Saka Viktor Gyökeres Arsenal

23' 23' Yellow Card | S. Lukic S. Lukic Fulham

29' 29' Goal Disallowed - offside | Riccardo Calafiori R. Calafiori Arsenal

40' 40' Normal Goal | Bukayo Saka | assist/sub out: Viktor Gyökeres B. Saka Arsenal

45+4' 45+4' Normal Goal Arsenal

46' 46' Substitution 1 | Bukayo Saka | assist/sub out: Noni Madueke B. Saka Arsenal

64' 64' Substitution 1 | H. Wilson | assist/sub out: O. Bobb H. Wilson Fulham

64' 64' Substitution 2 | S. Chukwueze | assist/sub out: Joshua King Samuel Chukwueze Fulham

Metric Arsenal Fulham SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 3.23 0.37 final

Zablokirovannye udary 3 6 final

Shots off target 6 3 final

Shots on target 9 1 final

Udary vsego 18 10 final

Fouls soversheno 7 12 final

Zheltye kartochki 0 1 final

Offsides 7 0 final

Arsenal #1 Bernd Leno, #3 Calvin Bassey, #5 Joachim Andersen, #6 Harrison Reed, #7 R. Jimenez, #8 H. Wilson, #19 Samuel Chukwueze, #20 S. Lukic, #21 T. Castagne, #32 Emile Smith Rowe, #33 Antonee Robinson

Fulham #1 D. Raya, #2 W. Saliba, #4 B. White, #6 Gabriel, #7 B. Saka, #10 E. Eze, #14 Viktor Gyökeres, #19 L. Trossard, #33 R. Calafiori, #41 D. Rice, #49 Myles Lewis-Skelly

Player Team Metric SStats

Antonee Robinson Fulham football.player.assists 0

Antonee Robinson Fulham football.player.minutes_played 90

B. Saka Fulham Dribling popytki 1

B. Saka Fulham Dribling uspeshno 2

B. Saka Fulham Edinoborstva vyigrano 2

B. Saka Fulham Fouls na igroke 1

B. Saka Fulham Seyvy 0

B. Saka Fulham Tochnost pasov % 4

B. Saka Fulham Klyuchevye pasy 28

B. Saka Fulham Pasy vsego 1

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Arsenal 65.3% 64.1% market and model agree

Draw 21.7% 21.5% draw risk

Fulham 13.0% 14.4%

xG - 1.89 : 0.76

Total 2.5 Over 39.8% - Under 60.3%

Model check - - Difference 0.01

Market vs Glicko gap: 0.01

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 64.1% / 21.5% / 14.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,683 / 1,517 Arsenal / Fulham

RD 75 / 70 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.04 market consensus · no value · model 14.4%

X 4.38 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.47 market consensus · no value · model 64.1%

Double chance

X2 2.65 market consensus · no value · model 35.9%

12 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 78.5%

1X 1.10 market consensus · no value · model 85.6%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.69 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 6.10 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · no value · model 39.8%

Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · value +16.3% · model 60.3%

Both teams to score

No 1.75 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.48 67.6%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%
X	4.10 24.4%	4.53 22.1%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.40 22.7%	4.50 22.2%
	6.60 15.2%	7.21 13.9%	6.50 15.4%	7.00 14.3%	7.10 14.1%	7.50 13.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.77 56.5%	1.74 57.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.76 56.8%
yes	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.55 39.2%	2.70 37.0%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.65 37.7%	2.70 37.0%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.09 91.7%	1.12 89.3%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.07 93.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.05 95.2%	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%
Over 1.75	—	1.33 75.2%
Over 2.0	—	1.41 70.9%
Over 2.25	—	1.74 57.5%
Over 2.5	1.85 54.1%	1.97 50.8%
Over 3.5	3.20 31.3%	—
Over 4.5	6.00 16.7%	—
Under 0.5	9.00 11.1%	—
Under 1.5	3.50 28.6%	—
Under 2.5	1.91 52.4%	—
Under 3.5	1.33 75.2%	—
Under 4.5	1.12 89.3%	—

Match center

Arsenal

Founded 1886

Fulham

Founded 1879

Match center

Arsenal

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Fulham

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Mikel Merino Yurrien Timber Kay Khaverts Travmirovannye Kevin Aleks Ayuobi Rayan Sesenon

Arsenal Founded: 1886

Fulham Founded: 1879

Match center

Arsenal

W L L W W

25.04 16:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:0 Nyukasl

19.04 15:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:2 Manchester City

11.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:2 Bournemouth

14.03 17:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:0 Everton

04.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:0 Brighton

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

9 Points

Fulham

W D L W D

25.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Fulham 1:0 Aston Villa

18.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Fulham 0:0 Brentford

11.04 16:30 UTC Premier League

Fulham 0:2 Liverpul

21.03 15:00 UTC Premier League

Fulham 3:1 Burnley

15.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Fulham 0:0 Nottingem Forest

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.6 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Fulham

Arsenal

2 matches total

Fulham

Arsenal: 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Fulham: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Arsenal 1:0 (18.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 01.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

18.10 16:30 UTC

Premier League

Arsenal

1:0

Fulham

01.04 18:45 UTC

Premier League

Arsenal

2:1

Fulham

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Arsenal

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Fulham

34 Games 34

22 Wins 14

7 Draws 6

5 Losses 14

64 Scored 44

26 Conceded 46

73 Points 48

100.66 Attacks 92

58.06 Dangerous attacks 48.03

0 Big chances 0

14.21 Shots on goal 12.38

4.74 Shots on target 3.65

0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Viktor Dekeresh Bukayo Saka 1:0 9' Bukayo Saka Viktor Dekeresh 2:0 40' Viktor Dekeresh Leandro Trossard 3:0 45+4' Nakazaniya Sasha Lukich 23' VAR Rikkardo Kalafori 29'

Arsenal Fulkhem 34 Games 34 22 Wins 14 7 Draws 6 5 Losses 14 64 Scored 44 26 Conceded 46 73 Points 48 100.66 Attacks 92 58.06 Dangerous attacks 48.03 0 Big chances 0 14.21 Shots on goal 12.38 4.74 Udary v stvor 3.65 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.91 Uglovye 4.71 1.56 Offsaydy 1.85 10.32 Foly 10.76 56.03 % vladeniya myachom 51.18 1.32 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Viktor Dekeresh Bukayo Saka 1:0 9' Bukayo Saka Viktor Dekeresh 2:0 40' Viktor Dekeresh Leandro Trossard 3:0 45+4' Nakazaniya Sasha Lukich 23' VAR Rikkardo Kalafori 29'