Match center
Start
28.09.2024 14:00 UTC
28.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Arsenal - Leicester
4
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Arsenal - Leicester 28 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / X 7.45 / 2 16.19
- 1X2 market: Arsenal 81.1% / X 13.0% / Leicester 6.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.6%
1
81.1%
X
13.0%
2
6.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.8%
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Arsenal - Leicester
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
7.45
market consensus · line only
1
1.19
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
4.89
market consensus · line only
12
1.12
market consensus · line only
1X
1.05
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.61
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.40
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.19 84.0% |
| Х | 7.45 13.4% |
| П2 | 16.19 6.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 4.89 20.5% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.61 62.1% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.05 95.2% |
| П2 | 13.73 7.3% |
Match center
Arsenal
D
W
22.09 15:30 UTC
Premier League
Arsenal
2:2
Manchester City
Manchester City
15.09 13:00 UTC
Premier League
Arsenal
1:0
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
4
Points
Leicester
D
D
21.09 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Leicester
1:1
Everton
Everton
14.09 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Leicester
2:2
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
0
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
2
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Leicester
Arsenal
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals