Match center
Start
21.09.2025 15:30 UTC
21.09.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Arsenal - Manchester City
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Arsenal - Manchester City 21 сентября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.71 / 2 3.77
- 1X2 market: Arsenal 48.8% / X 25.8% / Manchester City 25.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.5%
1
48.8%
X
25.8%
2
25.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5
53.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Arsenal - Manchester City
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.78
market consensus · line only
X
3.72
market consensus · line only
1
1.96
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.88
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.28
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.47
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.69
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.90
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.79
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.06
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.15
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.66
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.98 50.5% |
| Х | 3.79 26.4% |
| П2 | 3.86 25.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.94 51.6% | 1.97 50.8% | 2.01 49.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.95 51.3% |
| Х | 3.65 27.4% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.84 26.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.70 27.0% |
| П2 | 3.70 27.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.89 25.7% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.80 26.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.15 46.5% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.69 59.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.91 52.4% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% |
Match center
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W
L
W
W
W
13.09 11:30 UTC
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Arsenal
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Leeds
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17.08 15:30 UTC
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Manchester United
Manchester United
25.05 15:00 UTC
Premier League
Arsenal
2:1
Southampton
Southampton
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.4
Conceded
12
Points
Manchester City
W
L
L
W
W
14.09 15:30 UTC
Premier League
Manchester City
3:0
Manchester United
Manchester United
31.08 13:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester City
1:2
Brighton
Brighton
23.08 11:30 UTC
Premier League
Manchester City
0:2
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
16.08 16:30 UTC
Premier League
Manchester City
4:0
Wolves
Wolves
25.05 15:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester City
2:0
Fulham
Fulham
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.8
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Manchester City
Arsenal
1
matches total
Arsenal: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Manchester City: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (2:2, 22.09 15:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
2:2 (22.09 15:30 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
22.09 15:30 UTC
Premier League
Premier League
Arsenal
2:2
Manchester City