Match center
Start
05.10.2024 14:00 UTC
05.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Arsenal - Southampton
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Arsenal - Southampton 5 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.17 / X 8.02 / 2 18.12
- 1X2 market: Arsenal 82.6% / X 12.1% / Southampton 5.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 66.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.5%
1
82.6%
X
12.1%
2
5.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
66.0%
Under 2.5
34.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Arsenal - Southampton
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
8.02
market consensus · line only
1
1.17
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
5.57
market consensus · line only
12
1.11
market consensus · line only
1X
1.04
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.45
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.81
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.17 85.5% |
| Х | 8.02 12.5% |
| П2 | 18.12 5.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 5.57 18.0% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% |
| home_draw | 1.04 96.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.81 35.6% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.04 96.2% |
| П2 | 15.55 6.4% |
Match center
Arsenal
W
D
W
28.09 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Arsenal
4:2
Leicester
22.09 15:30 UTC
Premier League
Arsenal
2:2
Manchester City
Manchester City
15.09 13:00 UTC
Premier League
Arsenal
1:0
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.3
Scored
1.3
Conceded
7
Points
Southampton
L
D
L
30.09 19:00 UTC
Premier League
Southampton
1:3
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
21.09 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Southampton
1:1
Ipswich
Ipswich
14.09 11:30 UTC
Premier League
Southampton
0:3
Manchester United
Manchester United
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.7
Scored
2.3
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Southampton
Arsenal
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals