Premier League
Premier League England
23.11.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Arsenal - Tottenham

England Futbol
Arsenal
Arsenal
4 : 1
Finished
Tottenham
Tottenham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Tottenham 23 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.47 / 2 7.72
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal 66.3% / X 21.3% / Tottenham 12.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 66.3%
X 21.4%
2 12.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 49.7%
Under 2.5 50.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.11.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Arsenal - Tottenham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.75 market consensus · line only
X 4.48 market consensus · line only
1 1.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.83 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.84 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.44 69.4%
Х 4.62 21.7%
П2 8.06 12.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.44 69.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.48 67.6% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7%
Х 4.35 23.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.56 21.9% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.55 22.0%
П2 7.25 13.8% 7.30 13.7% 8.30 12.1% 7.50 13.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.40 13.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.18 45.9% 2.09 47.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.17 46.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.70 37.0% 2.86 35.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.62 38.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.84 35.2%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Arsenal
D W W W W
08.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:2 SunderlandSunderland
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:0 BurnleyBurnley
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
18.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:0 FulhamFulham
04.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:0 West HamWest Ham
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Tottenham
D L W L W
08.11 12:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
01.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:1 ChelseaChelsea
26.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 3:0 EvertonEverton
19.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
04.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:1 LeedsLeeds
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Tottenham

Arsenal
1 matches total
Tottenham
Arsenal: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tottenham: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Arsenal 1:0 (15.09 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 15.09 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

15.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal
1:0
Tottenkhem