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Premier League
Premier League England
04.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Arsenal - West Ham

England Football
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 : 0
Finished
West Ham
West Ham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - West Ham October 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 7.00 / 2 14.26
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal 79.6% / X 13.7% / West Ham 6.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 79.6%
X 13.7%
2 6.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5 64.8%
Under 2.5 35.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Arsenal - West Ham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.01 market consensus · line only
1 1.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.11 market consensus · line only
1X 1.03 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.68 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.61 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.69 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.71 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.20 83.3%
X 7.20 13.9%
15.19 6.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0%
X 6.80 14.7% 7.10 14.1% 6.92 14.5% 6.50 15.4% 7.50 13.3% 7.20 13.9%
14.00 7.1% 13.50 7.4% 15.00 6.7% 13.00 7.7% 13.00 7.7% 14.50 6.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.16 46.3% 2.12 47.2% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.15 46.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 4.50 22.2% 4.52 22.1% 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5% 4.65 21.5%
home_away 1.09 91.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1%
Match center
Arsenal
W D W L W
28.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
21.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
13.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 3:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
31.08 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 0:1 LiverpulLiverpul
23.08 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 5:0 LeedsLeeds
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
West Ham
D L L W L
29.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:1 EvertonEverton
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
13.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
West Ham 0:3 TottenkhemTottenkhem
31.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 3:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
22.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:5 ChelseaChelsea
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - West Ham

Arsenal
0 matches total
West Ham
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history