Premier League England

18.01.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

18.01.2026 16:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Aston Villa - Everton

England Futbol

Aston Villa

0 : 1

Finished

Everton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aston Villa - Everton 18 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 3.98 / 2 5.57
1X2 market: Aston Villa 58.8% / X 24.0% / Everton 17.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%

1 58.7%

X 24.1%

2 17.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%

Over 2.5 52.5%

Under 2.5 47.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 18.01.2026 16:30 UTC

Match center

Aston Villa - Everton

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.59 market consensus · line only

X 3.99 market consensus · line only

1 1.63 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.33 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.36 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.81 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.96 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.62 61.7%
Х	4.10 24.4%
П2	5.85 17.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	1.64 61.0%	1.61 62.1%	1.66 60.2%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%
Х	3.95 25.3%	4.10 24.4%	4.17 24.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.90 25.6%	4.00 25.0%
П2	5.20 19.2%	5.70 17.5%	5.79 17.3%	5.00 20.0%	5.75 17.4%	5.70 17.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.93 51.8%	2.10 47.6%	1.90 52.6%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%	1.97 50.8%
yes	1.80 55.6%	1.74 57.5%	1.82 55.0%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.20 45.5%	2.37 42.2%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%
home_draw	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.16 86.2%

Match center

Aston Villa

D W L W W

07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 0:0 Kristal Pelas

03.01 12:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 3:1 Nottingem Forest

30.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 1:4 Arsenal

27.12 17:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 2:1 Chelsea

21.12 16:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 2:1 Manchester United

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

10 Points

Everton

D L W D L

07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League

Everton 1:1 Wolves

04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 2:4 Brentford

30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League

Everton 2:0 Nottingem Forest

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 0:0 Burnley

20.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 0:1 Arsenal

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Everton

Aston Villa

2 matches total

Everton

Aston Villa: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Everton: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Aston Villa 3:2 (14.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 14.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (13.09 14:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

13.09 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Aston Villa

0:0

Everton

14.09 16:30 UTC

Premier League

Aston Villa

3:2

Everton