Premier League
Premier League England
03.05.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Aston Villa - Fulham

England Futbol
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1 : 0
Finished
Fulham
Fulham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aston Villa - Fulham 3 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.81 / 2 4.21
  • 1X2 market: Aston Villa 51.7% / X 25.4% / Fulham 23.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 51.7%
X 25.4%
2 23.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 56.4%
Under 2.5 43.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.05.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Aston Villa - Fulham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.21 market consensus · line only
X 3.81 market consensus · line only
1 1.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.01 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.87 53.5%
Х 3.81 26.3%
П2 4.21 23.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.01 49.8%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.71 58.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.21 45.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.39 71.9%
П2 3.15 31.8%
Match center
Aston Villa
L W W W W
22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 1:2 Manchester CityManchester City
19.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 4:1 NyukaslNyukasl
12.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
05.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:0 BrightonBrighton
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Fulham
W L L W L
26.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:2 ChelseaChelsea
14.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:1 BournemouthBournemouth
06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 3:2 LiverpulLiverpul
01.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:2 ArsenalArsenal
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Fulham

Aston Villa
1 matches total
Fulham
Aston Villa: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fulham: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Aston Villa 3:1 (19.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 19.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa
3:1
Fulham