Premier League England

28.09.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction

28.09.2025 13:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Aston Villa - Fulham

England Futbol

Aston Villa

3 : 1

Finished

Fulham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aston Villa - Fulham 28 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.21 / 2 3.31
1X2 market: Aston Villa 41.5% / X 29.7% / Fulham 28.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 41.5%

X 29.7%

2 28.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%

Over 2.5 46.4%

Under 2.5 53.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.09.2025 13:00 UTC

Match center

Aston Villa - Fulham

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.32 market consensus · line only

X 3.22 market consensus · line only

1 2.30 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.63 market consensus · line only

12 1.35 market consensus · line only

1X 1.34 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.26 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.18 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.97 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.33 42.9%
Х	3.31 30.2%
П2	3.38 29.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	2.28 43.9%	2.26 44.3%	2.39 41.8%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%
Х	3.15 31.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%
П2	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.20 31.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.95 51.3%	2.04 49.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.94 51.6%	2.05 48.8%
yes	1.77 56.5%	1.79 55.9%	1.78 56.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.77 56.5%	1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.60 62.5%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.64 61.0%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.38 72.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.38 72.5%
home_draw	1.33 75.2%	1.37 73.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%

Match center

Aston Villa

D D L L D

21.09 13:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 1:1 Sunderland

13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 0:0 Everton

31.08 18:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 0:3 Kristal Pelas

23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 0:1 Brentford

16.08 11:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 0:0 Nyukasl

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

0.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Fulham

W W L D D

20.09 19:00 UTC Premier League

Fulham 3:1 Brentford

13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Fulham 1:0 Leeds

30.08 11:30 UTC Premier League

Fulham 0:2 Chelsea

24.08 15:30 UTC Premier League

Fulham 1:1 Manchester United

16.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Fulham 1:1 Brighton

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Fulham

Aston Villa

2 matches total

Fulham

Aston Villa: 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Fulham: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Aston Villa 3:1 (19.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 19.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 4

Match history

03.05 11:30 UTC

Premier League

Aston Villa

1:0

Fulham

19.10 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Aston Villa

3:1

Fulham