Premier League
Premier League England
06.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Aston Villa - Manchester United

England Futbol
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
0 : 0
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aston Villa - Manchester United 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 3.93 / 2 3.31
  • 1X2 market: Aston Villa 45.9% / X 24.8% / Manchester United 29.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 45.9%
X 24.7%
2 29.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 64.5%
Under 2.5 35.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Aston Villa - Manchester United

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.31 market consensus · line only
X 3.93 market consensus · line only
1 2.12 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.79 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.12 47.2%
Х 3.93 25.5%
П2 3.31 30.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.79 55.9%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.37 73.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.49 67.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.71 36.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.58 63.3%
П2 2.50 40.0%
Match center
Aston Villa
D W W
29.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:2 IpswichIpswich
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:1 WolvesWolves
14.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:2 EvertonEverton
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
7 Points
Manchester United
L D W L
29.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:3 TottenkhemTottenkhem
21.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
14.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 3:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
01.09 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:3 LiverpulLiverpul
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points