Match center
Start
21.12.2025 16:30 UTC
21.12.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Aston Villa - Manchester United
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aston Villa - Manchester United 21 декабря 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.
Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 3.60 / 2 3.40
- 1X2 market: Aston Villa 45.4% / X 26.5% / Manchester United 28.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
45.3%
X
26.6%
2
28.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
57.4%
Under 2.5
42.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Aston Villa - Manchester United
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.41
market consensus · line only
X
3.60
market consensus · line only
1
2.11
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.75
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.33
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.36
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.34
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.33
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.25
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.40
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.54
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.11 47.4% |
| Х | 3.64 27.5% |
| П2 | 3.55 28.2% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.12 47.2% |
| Х | 3.55 28.2% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.74 26.7% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.65 27.4% |
| П2 | 3.35 29.9% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.19 31.4% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.55 28.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.38 42.0% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.39 41.8% | 2.52 39.7% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.57 63.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.70 58.8% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.68 59.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_draw | 1.30 76.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.40 71.4% |
Match center
Aston Villa
W
W
W
W
W
14.12 14:00 UTC
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Aston Villa
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Wolves
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23.11 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Aston Villa
2:1
Leeds
Leeds
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
15
Points
Manchester United
D
W
D
W
L
15.12 20:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester United
4:4
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
08.12 20:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester United
4:1
Wolves
Wolves
04.12 20:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester United
1:1
West Ham
West Ham
30.11 12:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester United
2:1
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
24.11 20:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester United
0:1
Everton
Everton
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.6
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Manchester United
Aston Villa
2
matches total
Aston Villa: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Manchester United: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Manchester United 0:2 (25.05 15:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (0:2, 25.05 15:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
0:0 (06.10 13:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
25.05 15:00 UTC
Premier League
Premier League
Aston Villa
0:2
Manchester United
06.10 13:00 UTC
Premier League
Premier League
Aston Villa
0:0
Manchester United