Match center
Start
21.09.2024 14:00 UTC
21.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Aston Villa - Wolves
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aston Villa - Wolves 21 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.
Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.59 / X 4.43 / 2 5.68
- 1X2 market: Aston Villa 61.0% / X 21.9% / Wolves 17.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.1%
1
61.0%
X
21.9%
2
17.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5
58.8%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Aston Villa - Wolves
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.68
market consensus · line only
X
4.43
market consensus · line only
1
1.59
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.51
market consensus · line only
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
1X
1.17
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.65
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.35
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.59 62.9% |
| Х | 4.43 22.6% |
| П2 | 5.68 17.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.51 39.8% |
| home_away | 1.24 80.7% |
| home_draw | 1.17 85.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.24 80.7% |
| П2 | 4.45 22.5% |
Match center
Aston Villa
W
14.09 16:30 UTC
Premier League
Aston Villa
3:2
Everton
Everton
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Wolves
L
15.09 15:30 UTC
Premier League
Wolves
1:2
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Wolves
Aston Villa
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals