Premier League
Premier League England
30.11.2025 14:05 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Aston Villa - Wolves

England Futbol
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1 : 0
Finished
Wolves
Wolves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aston Villa - Wolves 30 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.43 / 2 6.56
  • 1X2 market: Aston Villa 63.8% / X 21.6% / Wolves 14.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 63.8%
X 21.6%
2 14.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 54.8%
Under 2.5 45.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.11.2025 14:05 UTC
Match center

Aston Villa - Wolves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.58 market consensus · line only
X 4.44 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.64 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.55 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.50 66.7%
Х 4.54 22.0%
П2 6.75 14.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.47 68.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
Х 4.20 23.8% 4.55 22.0% 4.62 21.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.45 22.5%
П2 7.00 14.3% 6.50 15.4% 6.76 14.8% 6.00 16.7% 6.25 16.0% 6.80 14.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.94 51.6%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.71 36.9%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Aston Villa
W W L W W
23.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:1 LeedsLeeds
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 4:0 BournemouthBournemouth
01.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 0:2 LiverpulLiverpul
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 1:0 Manchester CityManchester City
19.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Wolves
L L L L L
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
08.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:3 ChelseaChelsea
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:3 FulhamFulham
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:3 BurnleyBurnley
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:2 SunderlandSunderland
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Wolves

Aston Villa
1 matches total
Wolves
Aston Villa: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Wolves: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Aston Villa 3:1 (21.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 21.09 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa
3:1
Wolves