Premier League
Premier League England
19.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Arsenal

England Futbol
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
2 : 0
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Arsenal 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.05 / X 3.71 / 2 1.78
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 19.2% / X 26.2% / Arsenal 54.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 19.2%
X 26.2%
2 54.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 50.5%
Under 2.5 49.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Arsenal

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.71 market consensus · line only
1 5.05 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 2.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.05 19.8%
Х 3.71 27.0%
П2 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 2.15 46.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.93 51.8%
ТМ 2.5 1.97 50.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.73 26.8%
П2 1.31 76.3%
Match center
Bournemouth
L W L L
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:1 Leicester
30.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 3:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:3 LiverpulLiverpul
14.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:1 ChelseaChelsea
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Arsenal
W W D W
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 3:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:2 Leicester
22.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:2 Manchester CityManchester City
15.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Arsenal

Bournemouth
0 matches total
Arsenal
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history