Premier League England

03.01.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

03.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Bournemouth - Arsenal

England Futbol

Bournemouth

2 : 3

Finished

Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Arsenal 3 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.38 / X 4.70 / 2 1.48
1X2 market: Bournemouth 15.0% / X 20.4% / Arsenal 64.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 15.0%

X 20.4%

2 64.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%

Over 2.5 59.5%

Under 2.5 40.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 03.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Bournemouth - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.48 market consensus · line only

X 4.71 market consensus · line only

1 6.41 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.13 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 2.68 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.77 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.06 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	6.79 14.7%
Х	4.82 20.8%
П2	1.47 68.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
П1	6.00 16.7%	6.40 15.6%	6.65 15.0%	6.00 16.7%	6.40 15.6%	6.50 15.4%
Х	4.60 21.7%	4.80 20.8%	4.88 20.5%	4.75 21.1%	4.80 20.8%	4.75 21.1%
П2	1.47 68.0%	1.48 67.6%	1.52 65.8%	1.48 67.6%	1.52 65.8%	1.47 68.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	2.00 50.0%	2.09 47.9%	2.04 49.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.13 47.0%	2.05 48.8%
yes	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.71 58.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.71 58.5%	1.77 56.5%	1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	1.11 90.1%	1.14 87.7%	1.12 89.3%	1.15 87.0%	1.13 88.5%	1.13 88.5%
home_away	1.15 87.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%	1.21 82.6%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	2.62 38.2%	2.74 36.5%	2.62 38.2%	2.67 37.5%	2.74 36.5%	2.86 35.0%

Match center

Bournemouth

D L D D D

30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 2:2 Chelsea

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 1:4 Brentford

20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 1:1 Burnley

15.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 4:4 Manchester United

06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 0:0 Chelsea

0 Wins

4 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.2 Conceded

4 Points

Arsenal

W W W W L

30.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 4:1 Aston Villa

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:1 Brighton

20.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:0 Everton

13.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:1 Wolves

06.12 12:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:2 Aston Villa

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Arsenal

Bournemouth

2 matches total

Arsenal

Bournemouth: 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Arsenal: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Bournemouth 2:0 (19.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 03.05 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 4

Match history

03.05 16:30 UTC

Premier League

Bournemouth

2:1

Arsenal

19.10 16:30 UTC

Premier League

Bournemouth

2:0

Arsenal