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Premier League
Premier League England
03.03.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Brentford

England Football
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
0 : 0
Finished
Brentford
Brentford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Brentford March 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.

Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / X 3.58 / 2 2.62
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 37.1% / X 26.6% / Brentford 36.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 37.1%
X 26.6%
2 36.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 58.7%
Under 2.5 41.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.03.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Brentford

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.63 market consensus · line only
X 3.59 market consensus · line only
1 2.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.49 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.49 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.64 37.9%
X 3.65 27.4%
2.67 37.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.52 39.7% 2.56 39.1% 2.67 37.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2% 2.57 38.9%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.68 27.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
2.52 39.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.71 36.9% 2.63 38.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.50 40.0% 2.56 39.1% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.41 41.5% 2.64 37.9%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Bournemouth
D D W D W
28.02 12:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:1 SunderlandSunderland
21.02 17:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:0 West HamWest Ham
10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:1 EvertonEverton
07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:0 WolvesWolves
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Brentford
W L D W W
28.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 4:3 BurnleyBurnley
21.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 BrightonBrighton
12.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:1 ArsenalArsenal
07.02 17:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:2 NyukaslNyukasl
01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Brentford

Bournemouth
1 matches total
Brentford
Bournemouth: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Brentford: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Brentford 1:4 (27.12 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 27.12 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth
1:4
Brentford