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Premier League
Premier League England
20.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Burnley

England Football
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
1 : 1
Finished
Burnley
Burnley

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Burnley December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.

Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.52 / X 4.42 / 2 6.20
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 62.9% / X 21.7% / Burnley 15.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 62.9%
X 21.6%
2 15.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 57.5%
Under 2.5 42.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Burnley

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.21 market consensus · line only
X 4.42 market consensus · line only
1 1.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.99 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.57 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.53 65.4%
X 4.43 22.6%
6.36 15.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7%
X 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.58 21.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.55 22.0%
5.70 17.5% 5.90 17.0% 6.50 15.4% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.10 16.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.10 47.6% 1.96 51.0% 2.06 48.5%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.61 38.3% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.65 37.7%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Bournemouth
D D L L D
15.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 4:4 Manchester UnitedManchester United
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:0 ChelseaChelsea
02.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:1 EvertonEverton
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:3 SunderlandSunderland
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:2 West HamWest Ham
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Burnley
L L L L L
13.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:3 FulhamFulham
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:3 BrentfordBrentford
22.11 12:30 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:2 ChelseaChelsea
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Burnley

Bournemouth
0 matches total
Burnley
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history