Premier League
Premier League England
06.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Chelsea

England Futbol
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
0 : 0
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Chelsea 6 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.38 / X 3.77 / 2 2.06
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 28.3% / X 25.4% / Chelsea 46.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 28.3%
X 25.3%
2 46.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 58.9%
Under 2.5 41.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.06 market consensus · line only
X 3.78 market consensus · line only
1 3.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.79 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.44 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.45 29.0%
Х 3.92 25.5%
П2 2.07 48.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.42 29.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9% 3.40 29.4%
Х 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7%
П2 2.02 49.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.40 41.7% 2.52 39.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.39 41.8% 2.54 39.4% 2.55 39.2%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.56 64.1% 1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6%
Match center
Bournemouth
L L D L L
02.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:1 EvertonEverton
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:3 SunderlandSunderland
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:2 West HamWest Ham
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:4 Aston VillaAston Villa
02.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:3 Manchester CityManchester City
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.6 Conceded
1 Points
Chelsea
L D W W W
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:3 LeedsLeeds
30.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:1 ArsenalArsenal
22.11 12:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:0 BurnleyBurnley
08.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:0 WolvesWolves
01.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Chelsea

Bournemouth
1 matches total
Chelsea
Bournemouth: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Chelsea: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Chelsea 0:1 (14.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 14.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth
0:1
Chelsea