Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Premier League
Premier League England
03.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Fulham

England Football
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
3 : 1
Finished
Fulham
Fulham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Fulham October 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.

Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.99 / X 3.49 / 2 3.89
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 48.0% / X 27.4% / Fulham 24.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 48.0%
X 27.4%
2 24.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 48.2%
Under 2.5 51.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Fulham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.89 market consensus · line only
X 3.49 market consensus · line only
1 1.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.85 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.78 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.01 49.8%
X 3.56 28.1%
3.98 25.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%
3.75 26.7% 3.95 25.3% 3.96 25.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Bournemouth
D D W W W
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:2 LeedsLeeds
21.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:0 NyukaslNyukasl
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:1 BrightonBrighton
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:0 WolvesWolves
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Fulham
L W W L D
28.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
20.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 3:1 BrentfordBrentford
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 LeedsLeeds
30.08 11:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:2 ChelseaChelsea
24.08 15:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Fulham

Bournemouth
1 matches total
Fulham
Bournemouth: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fulham: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Bournemouth 1:0 (14.04 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 14.04 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

14.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth
1:0
Fulham