Premier League
Premier League England
24.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Liverpool

England Futbol
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
3 : 2
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Liverpool 24 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.93 / X 3.93 / 2 1.86
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 24.4% / X 24.3% / Liverpool 51.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 24.3%
X 24.3%
2 51.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 61.3%
Under 2.5 38.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 24.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Liverpool

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.86 market consensus · line only
X 3.93 market consensus · line only
1 3.95 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.97 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.48 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.16 24.0%
Х 3.92 25.5%
П2 1.87 53.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.95 25.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.15 24.1% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.05 24.7%
Х 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.15 24.1% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3%
П2 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.45 40.8% 2.54 39.4% 2.48 40.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.61 38.3%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5%
Match center
Bournemouth
D W L D L
19.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:1 BrightonBrighton
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 3:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
03.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:3 ArsenalArsenal
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:2 ChelseaChelsea
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:4 BrentfordBrentford
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
5 Points
Liverpool
D D D D W
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:1 BurnleyBurnley
08.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 0:0 ArsenalArsenal
04.01 15:15 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:2 FulhamFulham
01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 0:0 LeedsLeeds
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:1 WolvesWolves
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Liverpool

Bournemouth
2 matches total
Liverpool
Bournemouth: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Liverpool: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Liverpul 0:3 (21.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (2:4, 15.08 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 7
7 Goals conceded 2

Match history

15.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth
2:4
Liverpul
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth
0:3
Liverpul