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Premier League
Premier League England
19.05.2026 18:30 UTC 37 round
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Manchester City

England Football
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
1 : 1
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Manchester City May 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.76 / X 4.32 / 2 1.65
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 20.1% / X 22.1% / Manchester City 57.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 20.1%
X 22.1%
2 57.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 62.4%
Under 2.5 37.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Vitaliti (Bornmut, England), 11 218 zriteley (93% pri vmestimosti 12 000)
Referee Entoni Teylor (Manchester)
Start 19.05.2026 18:30 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Manchester City

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Bornmut - Manchester Siti, 19 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. APL 2025-2026 — Championship England po futbolu, 37 round. Bornmut - Manchester Siti, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.18 Fonbet · line only
2 1.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.60 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.50 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
4.30 23.3% 5.23 19.1% 4.80 20.8% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1%
X 4.30 23.3% 4.46 22.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.40 22.7%
1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.40 41.7% 2.48 40.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.32 43.1% 2.38 42.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 2.20 45.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.10 47.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.75 1.15 87.0%
Over 2.0 1.18 84.8%
Over 2.25 1.34 74.6%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6%
Over 2.75 1.61 62.1%
Over 3.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 4.5 3.85 26.0%
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 3.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Bournemouth

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Manchester City

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Khulio Soler Travmirovannye Rayan Kristi CHAMP
Match center
Bournemouth
W W D W W
09.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:0 FulhamFulham
03.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 3:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:2 LeedsLeeds
18.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
11.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:1 ArsenalArsenal
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Manchester City
W W D W W
13.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
09.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 BrentfordBrentford
04.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:3 EvertonEverton
22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 BurnleyBurnley
19.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 ArsenalArsenal
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Manchester City

Bournemouth
2 matches total
Manchester City
Bournemouth: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester City: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Manchester City 1:3 (02.11 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 02.11 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 2

Match history

02.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth
1:3
Manchester City
20.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth
1:3
Manchester City
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Bournemouth
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Manchester City
Bournemouth Team comparison Manchester City
36 Games 36
13 Wins 23
16 Draws 8
7 Losses 5
56 Scored 75
52 Conceded 32
55 Points 77
91.56 Attacks 114.83
47.09 Dangerous attacks 64.03
0 Big chances 0
13.47 Shots on goal 15.83
4.78 Shots on target 5.36
0.06 Sendoffs 0 Goly Eli Krupi Adrien Tryuffer 1:0 39' Erling Kholand 1 90+5' Nakazaniya Tayler Adams 37' Dzheyms Khill 59' Dzhastin Klyuyvert 90+3' Rodri 90+3' Adrien Tryuffer 90+6' Dzhanluidzhi Donnarumma 90+7'

Bornmut Manchester Siti 36 Games 36 13 Wins 23 16 Draws 8 7 Losses 5 56 Scored 75 52 Conceded 32 55 Points 77 91.56 Attacks 114.83 47.09 Dangerous attacks 64.03 0 Big chances 0 13.47 Shots on goal 15.83 4.78 Udary v stvor 5.36 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.64 Uglovye 6.36 1.89 Offsaydy 1.14 12.08 Foly 9.78 50 % vladeniya myachom 61.08 2.31 Warnings 1.75 0.06 Sendoffs 0 Goly Eli Krupi Adrien Tryuffer 1:0 39' Erling Kholand 1 90+5' Nakazaniya Tayler Adams 37' Dzheyms Khill 59' Dzhastin Klyuyvert 90+3' Rodri 90+3' Adrien Tryuffer 90+6' Dzhanluidzhi Donnarumma 90+7'