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Premier League
Premier League England
27.04.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
27.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Manchester United

England Football
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
1 : 1
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Manchester United April 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.

Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.91 / 2 4.14
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 51.7% / X 24.9% / Manchester United 23.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 51.7%
X 24.8%
2 23.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.14 market consensus · line only
X 3.91 market consensus · line only
1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.01 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.88 53.2%
X 3.91 25.6%
4.14 24.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.01 49.8%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.27 78.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 2.5 2.29 43.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.40 71.4%
3.11 32.2%
Match center
Bournemouth
D W D L D
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Bournemouth 0:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
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Bournemouth 1:0 FulhamFulham
05.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:2 West HamWest Ham
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:2 IpswichIpswich
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Manchester United
L L D L L
20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 WolvesWolves
13.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:4 NyukaslNyukasl
06.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:0 Manchester CityManchester City
01.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
27.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:2 West HamWest Ham
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
1 Points