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Premier League England

20.03.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction Prediction

20.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Bournemouth - Manchester United

England Football

Bournemouth

2 : 2

Finished

Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Manchester United March 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.30 / X 3.76 / 2 2.08
1X2 market: Bournemouth 28.9% / X 25.4% / Manchester United 45.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 28.9%

X 25.3%

2 45.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%

Over 2.5 60.3%

Under 2.5 39.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Bournemouth - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.09 market consensus · line only

X 3.76 market consensus · line only

1 3.29 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.34 market consensus · line only

12 1.26 market consensus · line only

1X 1.74 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.05 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.95 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.53 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.49 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.21 31.2%
X	3.80 26.3%
	2.18 45.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	3.20 31.3%	3.35 29.9%	3.36 29.8%	3.20 31.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.30 30.3%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.89 25.7%	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%	3.70 27.0%
	2.06 48.5%	2.08 48.1%	2.17 46.1%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	2.50 40.0%	2.67 37.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.53 39.5%
yes	1.50 66.7%	1.48 67.6%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%	1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.33 75.2%	1.37 73.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.30 76.9%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.73 57.8%	1.77 56.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.78 56.2%	1.73 57.8%

Match center

Bournemouth

D D D D W

14.03 15:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 0:0 Burnley

03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 0:0 Brentford

28.02 12:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 1:1 Sunderland

21.02 17:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 0:0 West Ham

10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 2:1 Everton

1 Wins

4 Draws

0 Losses

0.6 Scored

0.4 Conceded

7 Points

Manchester United

W L W W D

15.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 3:1 Aston Villa

04.03 20:15 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:2 Nyukasl

01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:1 Kristal Pelas

23.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:0 Everton

10.02 20:15 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 West Ham

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.0 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Manchester United

Bournemouth

2 matches total

Manchester United

Bournemouth: 0 (0%)

Draws:2 (100%)

Manchester United: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 8 goals (4:4, 15.12 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 4:4 (15.12 20:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 5

Match history

15.12 20:00 UTC

Premier League

Bournemouth

4:4

Manchester United

27.04 13:00 UTC

Premier League

Bournemouth

1:1

Manchester United