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Start
21.09.2025 13:00 UTC
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21.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Bournemouth - Newcastle
0
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bournemouth - Newcastle September 21, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.
Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 3.35 / 2 3.33
- 1X2 market: Bournemouth 42.7% / X 28.5% / Newcastle 28.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.5%
1
42.7%
X
28.6%
2
28.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5
48.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Bournemouth - Newcastle
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.34
market consensus · line only
X
3.35
market consensus · line only
1
2.24
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.67
market consensus · line only
12
1.33
market consensus · line only
1X
1.34
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.31
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.28
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.79
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.98
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.87
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.05
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.73
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.33 42.9% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% |
| 3.43 29.2% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.18 45.9% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.24 44.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.25 44.4% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 3.30 30.3% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.40 29.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.02 49.5% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.76 56.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.66 60.2% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% |
| home_draw | 1.30 76.9% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.35 74.1% |
Match center
Bournemouth
W
W
W
L
W
13.09 14:00 UTC
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Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
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Scored
1.0
Conceded
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Points
Newcastle
W
D
L
D
L
13.09 14:00 UTC
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Everton
Everton
1
Wins
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Draws
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Losses
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Scored
0.8
Conceded
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Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Newcastle
Bournemouth
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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