Premier League
Premier League England
30.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Southampton

England Futbol
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
3 : 1
Finished
Southampton
Southampton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Southampton 30 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.

Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.51 / 2 6.02
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 62.5% / X 21.5% / Southampton 16.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 62.5%
X 21.5%
2 16.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Southampton

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.02 market consensus · line only
X 4.51 market consensus · line only
1 1.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.55 64.5%
Х 4.51 22.2%
П2 6.02 16.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.65 37.7%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.15 87.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.43 41.2%
ТМ 3.5 1.61 62.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.22 82.0%
П2 4.74 21.1%
Match center
Bournemouth
L L
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:3 LiverpulLiverpul
14.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:1 ChelseaChelsea
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Southampton
D L
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 1:1 IpswichIpswich
14.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Southampton 0:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Southampton

Bournemouth
0 matches total
Southampton
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history