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Premier League England

28.02.2026 12:30 UTC Match prediction

28.02.2026 12:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Bournemouth - Sunderland

England Football

Bournemouth

1 : 1

Finished

Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Sunderland February 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.

Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.87 / 2 4.62
1X2 market: Bournemouth 54.7% / X 24.6% / Sunderland 20.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 54.8%

X 24.6%

2 20.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 53.5%

Under 2.5 46.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.02.2026 12:30 UTC

Match center

Bournemouth - Sunderland

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.64 market consensus · line only

X 3.88 market consensus · line only

1 1.74 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.09 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.20 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.64 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.20 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.20 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.05 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.74 57.5%
X	3.99 25.1%
	4.82 20.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%
X	3.75 26.7%	4.00 25.0%	4.07 24.6%	3.70 27.0%	3.90 25.6%	3.95 25.3%
	4.65 21.5%	4.55 22.0%	4.82 20.8%	4.20 23.8%	4.75 21.1%	5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.05 48.8%	2.11 47.4%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.00 50.0%	2.12 47.2%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.05 48.8%	2.16 46.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.15 46.5%	2.00 50.0%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%

Match center

Bournemouth

D W D W W

21.02 17:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 0:0 West Ham

10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 2:1 Everton

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 1:1 Aston Villa

31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 2:0 Wolves

24.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 3:2 Liverpul

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.8 Conceded

11 Points

Sunderland

L L L W L

22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 1:3 Fulham

11.02 20:15 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:1 Liverpul

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:3 Arsenal

02.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 3:0 Burnley

24.01 12:30 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 1:3 West Ham

1 Wins

0 Draws

4 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Sunderland

Bournemouth

1 matches total

Sunderland

Bournemouth: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Sunderland: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Sunderland 2:3 (29.11 15:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 29.11 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

29.11 15:00 UTC

Premier League

Bournemouth

2:3

Sunderland