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Premier League
Premier League England
27.12.2025 15:00 UTC Match prediction
27.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - Bournemouth

England Football
Brentford
Brentford
4 : 1
Finished
Bournemouth
Bournemouth

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Bournemouth December 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Line favourite market consensus: Brentford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 3.55 / 2 2.97
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 41.1% / X 26.9% / Bournemouth 32.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 41.1%
X 26.8%
2 32.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 56.7%
Under 2.5 43.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Brentford - Bournemouth

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.97 market consensus · line only
X 3.55 market consensus · line only
1 2.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.63 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.39 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.41 41.5%
X 3.60 27.8%
2.98 33.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.71 27.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
2.94 34.0% 2.95 33.9% 3.07 32.6% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.40 41.7% 2.48 40.3% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.32 43.1% 2.47 40.5%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Brentford
W D L L W
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:0 WolvesWolves
14.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:1 LeedsLeeds
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:1 BurnleyBurnley
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Bournemouth
D D D L L
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:1 BurnleyBurnley
15.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 4:4 Manchester UnitedManchester United
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:0 ChelseaChelsea
02.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:1 EvertonEverton
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:3 SunderlandSunderland
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Bournemouth

Brentford
0 matches total
Bournemouth
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history